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XAUUSD spot

4,059.18

+34.60(+0.86%)COMEX 4,073.0Bid 4,058.84 · Ask 4,059.51
bearish

200-day 4,529 · below

52w 3,901 – 5,586

Gold is losing dollar and yield support — the 200-day is the line that matters.

Session high

4,065.18

Session low

3,987.78

Range

77.40

XAUUSD signal

BIAS: mild downside.

WAIT
NewsDXY10YFedTreasuryGeo200dTapeCalendarCOTTrendGLD

Prints

  • BUYTP1 4,155.94,146.6
  • SELLTP1 4,273.94,283.5
  • SELLTP1 4,286.24,295.8
  • SELLTP2 4,323.14,339.3
  • BUYTP1 4,327.54,317.7
  • BUYTP1 4,365.24,355.4
  • SELLTP2 4,297.04,313.2
  • SELLTP1 4,319.94,329.6

Side from news wire, DXY, yields and 200-day. Not a broker order.

DXY102.34+0.38(+0.38%)
US 10Y4.993%+0.007
US 30Y5.305%+0.004
WTI100.02-1.74(-1.71%)
Silver54.49+0.15(+0.27%)
XAU/XAG74.5

COMEX gold

GC=F · live session · 4,073.0

6:10 AM5:30 PM4:50 AM5:05 PM4:20 AM

Trend

XAUUSD spot · 1m

  • m5-0.05%bearish
  • m15+0.10%bullish
  • h1-0.03%neutral
  • h4-0.01%neutral
  • d1-1.68%bearish

DXY vs XAUUSD

  • DXY → XAUUSD-0.01neutral
  • 10Y → XAUUSD0.78bullish
  • WTI → XAUUSD-0.58bullish

GLD / real 10Y

Real 10Y 2.64%-2bpbullish

10Y 4.993%2026-10-27

GLD 372.28 -1.42% · 5.1M

Shanghai 4,040.9Prem -18.2

Real yield is Treasury TIPS 10Y. GLD volume is tape, not creations.

COT specs

MM net +104k

L 121k · S 17k · OI 402k

Week of 2026-10-20

COMEX OI 402k · Vol 131,555

FOMC 21h 29mOct 29, 02:00 AM

Today's US prints

Live

  • 14

    OCT

    CPI

    Consumer Price Index

    Act 0.6% · Fcst 0.5% · Prev 0.4%

    Core 0.3% · Fcst 0.2% · Prev 0.3%

    ▲ Bullish USDXAUUSDSell

  • 29

    OCT

    FOMC

    Federal Reserve Rate Decision

    Act — · Fcst —

    AwaitingXAUUSDWait

  • 06

    NOV

    NFP

    Non-Farm Payrolls

    Act — · Fcst 40.0K · Prev 29K

    AwaitingXAUUSDWait

Desk levels

  • POC4,060.0
  • VWAP4,028.4
  • Support4,044.1
  • Resist4,063.7

XAUUSD session range

Asia3,987.8 – 4,025.1

London3,987.8 – 4,065.1

New York4,010.9 – 4,065.6

Journal

  • BUY TP14,146.6 → 4,155.9+9.3Oct 14, 09:51 AM
  • SELL TP14,283.5 → 4,273.9+9.6Sep 25, 01:40 PM
  • SELL TP14,295.8 → 4,286.2+9.6Sep 24, 12:04 PM
  • SELL TP24,339.3 → 4,323.1+16.2Sep 23, 06:28 PM
  • BUY TP14,317.7 → 4,327.5+9.8Sep 22, 08:27 PM
  • BUY TP14,355.4 → 4,365.2+9.8Sep 19, 12:25 AM
  • SELL TP24,313.2 → 4,297.0+16.2Sep 15, 07:53 AM
  • SELL TP14,329.6 → 4,319.9+9.7Sep 14, 04:02 PM

Desk briefing

Rule-based, live with the tape

Gold is losing dollar and yield support — the 200-day is the line that matters.

  • · Spot 4059.18 is bid 0.86% with futures 4073.0.
  • · Dollar is firmer (DXY 102.34, +0.38%) with 10Y at 4.993%.
  • · Yields and the dollar set the near-term cost of carry.
  • · Dips are being faded while the 200-day holds.
  • · Next: US data, Fed speak, and whether 200-day holds.

Drivers

  • US dollarbearish

    DXY 102.34 is firmer — near-term pressure on gold.

  • Real-rate proxybearish

    10Y 4.993% / 30Y 5.305%. Firmer yields raise the hurdle rate.

  • Fed pathmixed

    Hold / pause is the base path.

  • Treasury / fiscalmixed

    Fiscal pulse is mixed this session.

  • Geopoliticsmixed

    Geopolitical tape is quiet versus the dollar.

  • 200-daybearish

    Spot is below the 200-day (4529).

Fundamentals wire

Gold · 15s

Auto-updates: spot ~12s, news ~1m gold only, chart ~45s, calendar ~3m, signal ~12s. Not investment advice. · Oct 28, 04:30 AM